

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 48.26% ( | 24.16% ( | 27.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( | 45.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( | 67.54% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.17% ( | 18.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.73% ( | 50.27% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( | 29.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.89% ( | 66.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 48.26% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
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