FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Doncaster
2 - 2
Accrington
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Accrington Stanley
In what is a tough encounter to call on paper, home advantage and a strong recent cup record may favour Doncaster slightly in this one. Accrington are notorious for struggling to get past the first round, and having been given a difficult draw, another early exit could be on the cards for Coleman's men. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 38.78% | 24.52% | 36.69% |
| Both teams to score 59.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
