

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 61.93% ( | 21.15% ( | 16.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( | 44.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.15% ( | 66.85% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( | 13.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.84% ( | 41.16% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.36% ( | 39.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.68% ( | 76.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 5-1 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 61.92% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.15% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 |
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 |
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 |
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 |
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 |
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 |
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 |
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 |
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 |
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 |
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 |
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 |
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 |
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 |
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 |
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 |
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
