

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Swindon Town | 
| 26.44% (  -0.04) | 25.55% (  -0) | 48.01% (  0.05) | 
| Both teams to score 51.45% (  -0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.16% (  -0.02) | 51.84% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.4% (  -0.02) | 73.59% (  0.02) | 
| Harrogate Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.63% (  -0.05) | 34.37% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.92% (  -0.05) | 71.08% (  0.05) | 
| Swindon Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.4% (  0.01) | 21.6% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.29% (  0.02) | 54.7% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Swindon Town | 
| 1-0 @ 7.93% (  -0) 2-1 @ 6.49% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.23% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.31% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% (  -0) 3-0 @ 1.51% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.43% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% (  -0) 3-3 @ 0.9% (  -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 11.37% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 9.31% (  0) 0-2 @ 8.72% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 4.76% (  0) 0-3 @ 4.45% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.82% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.71% (  0) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.35% Total : 48% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
