Both sides enter this encounter in poor form, with MK's defence a recent weakness, while Harrogate, having failed to score in four of their last six games, do not appear capable of exploiting it.
However, the Dons could benefit from home support, having earned more points at their ground this season, making a win for them the most likely outcome in a match expected to feature few goals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
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