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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Crewe Alexandra

MK Dons
1 - 1
Crewe

White (9')
Sherring (49'), Gilbey (75'), Hogan (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knight-Lebel (55')
Conway (62'), Knight-Lebel (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Notts County
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Crewe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

Although the visitors have fared better than the hosts this season, their inability to secure a victory at Stadium MK since April 2021 could be the impetus the home team needs to go all out for an outright win. However, the decent away results of the visiting team cannot be overlooked. Thus, we reckon this match will end in a 1-1 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
40.36% (0.062999999999995 0.06) 26.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 33.22% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.39% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (0.066000000000003 0.07)52.31% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99% (0.058 0.06)74.01% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (0.065000000000012 0.07)25.49% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09)60.34% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.68% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)65.73% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 40.36%
    Crewe Alexandra 33.22%
    Draw 26.41%
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.36%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 33.22%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crewe

MK Dons
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Crewe Alexandra
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
MK Dons
3-1
Crewe
Dennis (5', 22'), Wearne (25')
Bate (62'), Kemp (70'), Tomlinson (72')
Nevitt (19')
Turns (38'), Cooney (72')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
3-1
MK Dons
Thomas (62'), Baker-Richardson (69'), Long (90')
Thomas (55'), O'Riordan (89'), Rowe (90+2'), Davies (90+3')
Leko (8')
Gilbey (75')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
MK Dons
2-1
Crewe
Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')
Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crewe
1-4
MK Dons
Long (52')
Lloyd-Bennett (69')
Eisa (12'), O'Riley (64'), Daniels (82' og.), Watters (90+6')
Twine (58')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
MK Dons
0-2
Crewe
Mandron (15', 20')
Lancashire (77'), Wintle (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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