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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Newport County win it was 2-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
21.81% (![]() | 22.55% (![]() | 55.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.49% (![]() | 43.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.1% (![]() | 65.9% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.14% (![]() | 33.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.47% (![]() | 70.53% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% (![]() | 15.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.61% (![]() | 44.39% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 5.74% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.81% | 1-1 @ 10.59% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 9.88% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.12% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.14% 0-3 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 55.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 75 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 74 |
4 | Walsall | 43 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 73 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 70 |
6 | Notts County | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 69 |
7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 16 | 18 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 66 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 66 |
9 | Chesterfield | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 63 |
10 | Salford City | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 62 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 43 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 70 | 61 | 9 | 60 |
13 | Bromley | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 57 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 54 |
17 | Gillingham | 43 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 51 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 48 |
19 | MK Dons | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 47 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 47 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 46 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 44 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 40 |
24 | Morecambe | 43 | 10 | 6 | 27 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |