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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Cheltenham Town

MK Dons
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Gilbey (22'), Harrison (75'), Maguire (86')
Thompson-Sommers (34')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Young (6'), Miller (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-2 Cheltenham Town

Both teams are in good form, and it is difficult to pick a winner based on their showings in recent weeks. It would not be surprising if MK Dons and Cheltenham each produced a number of chances over the course of the game, but ultimately shared the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
44.86% (-0.553 -0.55) 24.18% (-0.023 -0.02) 30.96% (0.578 0.58)
Both teams to score 58.98% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (0.389 0.39)43.35% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (0.38 0.38)65.75% (-0.378 -0.38)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)19.5% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (-0.127 -0.13)51.38% (0.128 0.13)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (0.56800000000001 0.57)26.73% (-0.566 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (0.743 0.74)61.99% (-0.742 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 44.86%
    Cheltenham Town 30.96%
    Draw 24.18%
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.093 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Cheltenham

MK Dons
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Cheltenham Town
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
MK Dons
2-2
Cheltenham
Eisa (45+2', 59' pen.)
Bonds (12'), May (90+7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
MK Dons
1-2
Cheltenham
Jules (43')
Oyegoke (7'), Gyamfi (17')
May (8' pen.), Brown (54')
Raglan (12'), Horton (33'), Barkers (42')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
Boyle (89')
May (72')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-1
MK Dons
Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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