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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Cheltenham Town

MK Dons
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Gilbey (22'), Harrison (75'), Maguire (86')
Thompson-Sommers (34')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Young (6'), Miller (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-2 Cheltenham Town

Both teams are in good form, and it is difficult to pick a winner based on their showings in recent weeks. It would not be surprising if MK Dons and Cheltenham each produced a number of chances over the course of the game, but ultimately shared the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
44.86% (-0.553 -0.55) 24.18% (-0.023 -0.02) 30.96% (0.578 0.58)
Both teams to score 58.98% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (0.389 0.39)43.35% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (0.38 0.38)65.75% (-0.378 -0.38)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)19.5% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (-0.127 -0.13)51.38% (0.128 0.13)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (0.56800000000001 0.57)26.73% (-0.566 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (0.743 0.74)61.99% (-0.742 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 44.86%
    Cheltenham Town 30.96%
    Draw 24.18%
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.093 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Cheltenham

MK Dons
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Cheltenham Town
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
MK Dons
2-2
Cheltenham
Eisa (45+2', 59' pen.)
Bonds (12'), May (90+7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
MK Dons
1-2
Cheltenham
Jules (43')
Oyegoke (7'), Gyamfi (17')
May (8' pen.), Brown (54')
Raglan (12'), Horton (33'), Barkers (42')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
Boyle (89')
May (72')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-1
MK Dons
Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


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