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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
44.86% (![]() | 24.18% (![]() | 30.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.98% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.65% (![]() | 43.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.25% (![]() | 65.75% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% (![]() | 19.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.62% (![]() | 51.38% (![]() |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.27% (![]() | 26.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% (![]() | 61.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-1 @ 9.19% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.86% | 1-1 @ 11.24% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.42% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 |
P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 |
P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 |
4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 |
6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 |
7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 |
8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 |
10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 |
11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 |
19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 |
R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |