Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
