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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MK Dons in this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
56.96% (![]() | 22.18% (![]() | 20.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.95% (![]() | 43.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.55% (![]() | 65.45% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.1% (![]() | 14.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.73% (![]() | 43.27% (![]() |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.48% (![]() | 34.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.77% (![]() | 71.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 9.91% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.79% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 10.41% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 5.54% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 68 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 61 |
4 | Notts County | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 58 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 57 |
6 | Port Vale | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 57 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 55 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 53 |
9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 49 |
11 | Salford City | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 49 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 48 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 46 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 43 |
16 | Chesterfield | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 42 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 40 |
18 | MK Dons | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 39 |
19 | Gillingham | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 38 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 37 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 30 |
23 | Morecambe | 35 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 29 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 27 |
> League Two Full Table |