Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra | 
| 29.03% (  0.13) | 23.87% (  0.01) | 47.1% (  -0.13) | 
| Both teams to score 58.9% (  0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.04% (  0.02) | 42.96% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.64% (  0.02) | 65.36% (  -0.01) | 
| Accrington Stanley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.2% (  0.09) | 27.81% (  -0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.61% (  0.12) | 63.4% (  -0.12) | 
| Crewe Alexandra Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.58% (  -0.05) | 18.42% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.42% (  -0.08) | 49.59% (  0.08) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra | 
| 2-1 @ 7.1% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 6.56% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 4.2% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 3.03% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.56% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 1.79% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% (  0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.03% | 1-1 @ 11.09% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 6% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 5.12% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% (  0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 9.38% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.67% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.33% (  -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.29% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.13% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.39% (  -0) 1-4 @ 2.24% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.75% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.43% (  -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 47.1% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
