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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Morecambe

Accrington
2 - 1
Morecambe

Costelloe (36' pen., 45+1')
Rawson (51'), Costelloe (75'), O'Brien (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tollitt (86')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
41.57% (0.064 0.06) 25.92% (0.222 0.22) 32.5% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 53.77% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-1.027 -1.03)50.44% (1.025 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.916 -0.92)72.37% (0.914 0.91)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.423 -0.42)24.03% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (-0.605 -0.6)58.29% (0.603 0.6)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-0.693 -0.69)29.22% (0.689 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-0.862 -0.86)65.17% (0.86 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 41.57%
    Morecambe 32.51%
    Draw 25.91%
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.01% (0.287 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.191 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.51%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Accrington
1-2
Morecambe
Shipley (89')
Gubbins (60'), Leigh (72'), Shipley (89'), O'Brien (90+9')
Khumbeni (55'), Brown (62')
Khumbeni (47'), Tutonda (90+4')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morecambe
1-1
Accrington
Connolly (64')
Bloxham (61'), Senior (72'), Bedeau (87')
Leigh (70' pen.)
Andrews (61'), Coleman (62'), Hills (63'), Whalley (65')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Morecambe
2-0
Accrington
Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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