Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 17, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 3
Atalanta

Pinamonti (37', 58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sulemana (47'), Maldini (63'), Retegui (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Genoa
Sunday, May 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Roma
Monday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Atalanta BC
16.59% ( -0.62)	23.1% ( -0.52)	60.3% ( 1.14)

Both teams to score 45.42% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.01% (

1.03)

52.99% (

-1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41% (

0.87)

74.58% (

-0.87)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.87% (

-0.18)

45.12% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.97% (

-0.14)

81.03% (

0.14)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77% (

0.78)

17.23% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48% (

1.36)

47.52% (

-1.36)

Score Analysis

Genoa 16.59%

Atalanta BC 60.3%

Draw 23.1%

Genoa	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 16.59%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.1%	0-1 @ 13.67% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 12.02% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 7.05% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 60.3%