Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 27, 2025 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
1 - 0
Genoa

Espeto (59')
Paz (34'), Smolcic (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vasquez (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Como and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-3 Como
Saturday, April 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 0-2 Lazio
Wednesday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Como in this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Genoa
54.48% ( -0.27)	25.85% ( 0.08)	19.66% ( 0.19)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table

Como	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 14.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.48%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 19.66%