Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como1 - 0Genoa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 0-3 Como
Saturday, April 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Genoa 0-2 Lazio
Wednesday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Wednesday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Como 1-0 Genoa
As Como are an increasingly formidable force at the Sinigaglia - and Genoa struggle to score away from home - the hosts should prevail by a slim margin. Cesc Fabregas is set to get the better of old teammate Patrick Vieira, who he effectively replaced at Arsenal, taking his team three points clear of their opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Como in this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Genoa |
54.48% ( -0.27) | 25.85% ( 0.08) | 19.66% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 43.16% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
