Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa2 - 1Lecce
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Genoa
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, March 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Genoa 1-0 Lecce
Both teams average under one goal per game this season, and Lecce have only scored in one of their last five. Facing Genoa's solid defence, if main marksman Nikola Krstovic fails to fire, the Giallorossi are bound for another away loss. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 44.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 27.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Lecce |
44.11% ( -0) | 28.51% ( 0) | 27.37% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 43.81% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
