Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 1
Lecce

Miretti (16', 45+2')
Caricol (29'), Miretti (34'), Vasquez (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Krstovic (68' pen.)
Berisha (49'), Krstovic (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Genoa
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, March 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 44.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 27.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Lecce
44.11% ( -0)	28.51% ( 0)	27.37% ( 0)

Both teams to score 43.81% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.01% (

61.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.27% (

81.73%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99%

28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.35% (

-0)

63.65% (

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.85% (

39.15% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.14% (

75.86% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Genoa 44.11%

Lecce 27.37%

Draw 28.5%

Genoa	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 13.95% 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.33% 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.67% Total : 44.11%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.5%	0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.48% Total : 27.37%

How you voted: Genoa vs Lecce

Genoa

72.7%

Draw

20.2%

Lecce

7.1%

Head to Head

Jan 5, 2025 2pm

Gameweek 19

Lecce

0-0

Genoa

Kasa (90+1')

> Preview

Jan 28, 2024 11.30am

Gameweek 22

Genoa

2-1

Lecce

Retegui (70'), Ekuban (76')
Gilardino (71')

Krstovic (31')
Krstovic (57'), Ramadani (90+5')

> Preview

Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 5

Lecce

1-0

Genoa

Oudin (83')
Almqvist (58')

De Winter (7'), Caricol (9')
Caricol (36')

> Preview

Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm

Gameweek 34

Genoa

2-1

Lecce

> Preview

Dec 8, 2019 11.30am

Gameweek 15

Lecce

2-2

Genoa

Falco (60'), Tabanelli (70')
La Mantia (21'), Lucioni (45'), Tachtsidis (55'), Petriccione (65'), Tabanelli (71')

Pandev (31'), Criscito (45' pen.)
Pajac (14'), Agudelo (18'), Criscito (67'), Pandev (73')
Agudelo (69'), Pandev (77')

Form Guide

Cagliari 1-1 Genoa

Genoa 1-1 Empoli

Inter Milan 1-0 Genoa

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table