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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa logo

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Genoa

Martinez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Miretti (55'), Ekuban (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-0 Venezia
Monday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Genoa

Although Genoa know how to keep things tight under their current manager, they have also scored the fewest goals during the first half this season (five), while Inter have recorded the most (27). Expect the hosts - also fired up by last week's setback - to start quickly, then, before sitting in and coasting towards success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 76.5%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 3-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawGenoa
76.5% (0.10899999999999 0.11) 15.64% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 7.86% (-0.053100000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 41.6% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (0.074000000000005 0.07)42.8% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (0.074000000000005 0.07)65.2% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.59% (0.042000000000002 0.04)9.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.36% (0.10599999999999 0.11)31.63% (-0.109 -0.11)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.92% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)54.08% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.67% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)87.32% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 76.49%
    Genoa 7.86%
    Draw 15.64%
Inter MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 14.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 11.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 6.62% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.13% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25%
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 76.49%
1-1 @ 7.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 15.64%
0-1 @ 3.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 0.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 7.86%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Genoa

Inter Milan
82.0%
Draw
14.8%
Genoa
3.3%
61
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Genoa
2-2
Inter Milan
Vogliacco (20'), Messias (90+5')
Gilardino (53'), Gollini (63')
Thuram (30', 82')
Mkhitaryan (16'), Gilardino (61'), Asllani (90+9')
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Inter Milan
2-1
Genoa
Asllani (30'), Sanchez (38' pen.)
Inzaghi (21'), Dumfries (22'), Martinez (69')
Vasquez (54')
Frendrup (20'), Strootman (47'), Vasquez (61')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Genoa
1-1
Inter Milan
Dragusin (45+7')
Gilardino (56'), Gudmundsson (66'), Dragusin (69')
Arnautovic (42')
Barella (77'), Mkhitaryan (86')
Feb 25, 2022 8.05pm
Gameweek 27
Genoa
0-0
Inter Milan
Portanova (72'), Gudmundsson (74'), Blessin (75')
Perisic (54')
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Genoa
Skriniar (6'), Calhanoglu (14'), Vidal (74'), Dzeko (87')
Vecino (78')

Criscito (2'), Sturaro (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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