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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Lecce logo

Parma
1 - 3
Lecce

Valeri (34' pen.)
Camara (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Krstovic (36'), Pierotti (63', 90+3')
Ramadani (20'), Karlsson (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Parma and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-2 Parma
Sunday, January 26 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 26 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Parma 2-1 Lecce

Only one team has a worse away record than Lecce, and they are still struggling to score goals, so even a brittle Parma side should secure three points on Friday evening. Without doubt, the Gialloblu have a greater cutting edge than their visitors, and they can use it to inch further away from danger. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawLecce
49.39% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 25.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.42% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.68% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.89% (0.076000000000001 0.08)51.11% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.04% (0.065000000000001 0.07)72.96% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (0.0049999999999955 0)53.31% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.101 0.1)34.83% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.106 0.11)71.56% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Parma 49.39%
    Lecce 25.42%
    Draw 25.18%
ParmaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 25.42%

How you voted: Parma vs Lecce

Parma
76.2%
Draw
19.8%
Lecce
4.0%
101
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lecce
2-2
Parma
Dorgu (32'), Krstovic (59')
Ramadani (31'), Dorgu (51'), Gaspar (54'), Rafia (84')
Guilbert (47')
Almqvist (90+3'), Hainaut (90+5')
Cancellieri (58')
Nov 1, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Lecce
2-4
Parma
Piccoli (54'), Espeto (76')
Espeto (72'), Berisha (87')
Sohm (9'), Bonny (28'), Pongracic (90+4' og.), Man (90+7' pen.)
Mihaila (33'), Coulibaly (74'), Zagaritis (85')
Mar 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 31
Parma
0-0
Lecce
Tutino (27'), Larangeira (43'), Cobbaut (61'), Vazquez (84')
Hjulmand (27'), Coda (36')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 12
Lecce
4-0
Parma
Coda (16', 31' pen., 44'), Espeto (37')
Lucioni (33'), Espeto (54')

Busi (68')
Aug 15, 2021 5pm
First Round
Parma
1-3
Lecce
Brunetta (7')
Sohm (58')
Coda (9', 76'), Tuia (40')
Gendrey (27'), Olivieri (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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