Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Lecce |
49.39% (![]() | 25.18% (![]() | 25.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.89% (![]() | 51.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.04% (![]() | 72.96% (![]() |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% (![]() | 20.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.69% (![]() | 53.31% (![]() |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% (![]() | 34.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.44% (![]() | 71.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 11.35% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.43% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 11.97% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 2.11% Total : 25.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 74 |
2 | Inter Milan | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 71 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 65 |
4 | Juventus | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Bologna | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 59 |
9 | AC Milan | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 54 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Como | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Udinese | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 41 |
13 | Genoa | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 39 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 33 |
15 | Parma | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 32 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 32 |
17 | Lecce | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 56 | -32 | 27 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 25 |
19 | Empoli | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 25 |
20 | Monza | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |