Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Jan 31, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
1 - 3
Lecce

Valeri (34' pen.)
Camara (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Krstovic (24', 36'), Pierotti (63', 90+3')
Ramadani (20'), Karlsson (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Parma and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 3-2 Parma
Sunday, January 26 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 26 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Lecce
49.39% ( -0.07)	25.18% ( -0.01)	25.42% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89% (

0.08)

51.11% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04% (

0.07)

72.96% (

-0.06)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

0.01)

20.71% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.69% (

53.31% (

-0)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17% (

0.1)

34.83% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44% (

0.11)

71.56% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Parma 49.39%

Lecce 25.42%

Draw 25.18%

Parma	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 49.39%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 25.42%