Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Venezia |
| 52.25% ( | 23.55% ( | 24.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( | 45.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( | 67.62% ( |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% ( | 17.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.3% ( | 47.7% ( |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( | 32.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% ( | 69.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.81% Total : 52.25% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.21% |