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Monza
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Venezia
Venezia
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
2 - 2
Como

Pohjanpalo (16'), Oristanio (69')
Nicolussi (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Candela (49' og.), Belotti (56')
Fabregas i Soler (51'), Sala (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Venezia
Saturday, November 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-1 Monza
Saturday, November 30 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Venezia 1-1 Como

Only Lecce have a lower shot-conversion rate than Venezia (7%) and Como (6.9%) in Serie A this season, so goals may be at a premium. Neither side can keep the back door shut, though, so a low-scoring draw may be the final outcome in this relegation scrap. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Como had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawComo
37.68% (0.495 0.49) 26.71% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 35.61% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (-0.404 -0.4)53.22% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (-0.343 -0.34)74.78% (0.345 0.34)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.094000000000008 0.09)27.4% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (0.121 0.12)62.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (-0.54899999999999 -0.55)28.63% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56% (-0.69 -0.69)64.43% (0.691 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 37.67%
    Como 35.61%
    Draw 26.71%
VeneziaDrawComo
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.182 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.67%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Venezia vs Como

Venezia
43.3%
Draw
32.8%
Como
23.9%
67
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Como
2-1
Venezia
Verdi (38'), Cutrone (90')
Verdi (49')
Pohjanpalo (40')
Candela (75'), Sverko (88')
Aug 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Venezia
3-0
Como
Pierini (19', 32'), Pohjanpalo (54')
Apr 1, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 31
Venezia
3-2
Como
Candela (45'), Milanese (48'), Pohjanpalo (50')
Da Cunha (8'), Gabrielloni (90')
Nov 6, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Como
1-0
Venezia
Bellemo (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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