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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 26, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Parma logo

AC Milan
3 - 2
Parma

Pulisic (38' pen.), Reijnders (90+2'), Chukwueze (90+5')
Pavlovic (12'), Fofana (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cancellieri (24'), Del Prato (80')
Vogliacco (33'), Sohm (37'), Del Prato (45+1'), Haj Mohamed (74'), Hainaut (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Girona
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Venezia
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 9.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawParma
74.03% (0.26300000000001 0.26)16.28% (-0.093 -0.09)9.68% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 47.43% (-0.33 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)39.53% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)61.87% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.82% (0.043999999999997 0.04)9.18% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.9% (0.101 0.1)31.09% (-0.096 -0.1)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.23% (-0.388 -0.39)47.77% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.94% (-0.286 -0.29)83.06% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 74.03%
    Parma 9.68%
    Draw 16.28%
AC MilanDrawParma
2-0 @ 12.5% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.96% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.95% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
4-1 @ 4.39%
5-0 @ 2.84% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 74.03%
1-1 @ 7.74% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 16.28%
0-1 @ 3.24% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 9.68%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Parma

AC Milan
77.8%
Draw
16.7%
Parma
5.6%
54
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Parma
2-1
AC Milan
Man (2'), Cancellieri (77')
Pulisic (66')
Pavlovic (34'), Emerson (88'), Loftus-Cheek (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 30
Parma
1-3
AC Milan
Gagliolo (66')
Bani (10'), Pezzella (37'), Gagliolo (38'), Kucka (64')
Rebic (8'), Kessie (44'), Leao (90+4')
Calhanoglu (24'), Hernandez (78'), Kessie (81'), Meite (90')
Ibrahimovic (60')
> Preview
Dec 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
2-2
Parma
Hernandez (58', 90+1')
Hernandez (35'), Calabria (80'), Kalulu (83')
Hernani (13'), Kurtic (56')
Osorio (41'), Iacoponi (65'), Inglese (77')
> Preview
Jul 15, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
3-1
Parma
> Preview
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 14
Parma
0-1
AC Milan

Iacoponi (61')
Hernandez (88')
Bennacer (58'), Hernandez (89'), Donnarumma (90')