Champions League header

Champions League

Milan logo
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 22, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Girona logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Girona

Leao (37', 37')
Calabria (41'), Calabria (41'), Hernandez (80'), Hernandez (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gil (59'), Gil (59'), Martin (82'), Martin (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 AC Milan
Saturday, January 18 at 5pm in Serie A

Girona

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Girona 1-2 Sevilla
Saturday, January 18 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Girona had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawGirona
56.12% (0.125 0.13)23.48% (0.125 0.13)20.4% (-0.25 -0.25)
Both teams to score 50.86% (-0.759 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (-0.82 -0.82)49.19% (0.82 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (-0.745 -0.74)71.25% (0.744 0.74)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.25200000000001 -0.25)17.34% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (-0.444 -0.44)47.73% (0.443 0.44)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)38.47% (0.727 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (-0.703 -0.7)75.22% (0.70099999999999 0.7)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 56.11%
    Girona 20.4%
    Draw 23.47%
AC MilanDrawGirona
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.98% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.11%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.221 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.088 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 20.4%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Girona

AC Milan
85.5%
Draw
8.7%
Girona
5.8%
173
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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