La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona3 - 0Valladolid
We said: Girona 1-1 Real Valladolid
There has only been one draw between these two sides since May 2016, but we are expecting the points to be shared here; Girona are just struggling for form at the moment, while Real Valladolid picked up a morale-boosting victory last time out, and we have a feeling that another positive result will arrive here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
43.87% ( -1.45) | 23.14% ( 0.24) | 33% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 63.74% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
