Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Real Valladolid | 
| 43.87% (  -1.45) | 23.14% (  0.24) | 33% (  1.21) | 
| Both teams to score 63.74% (  -0.34) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.48% (  -0.67) | 37.52% (  0.68) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.25% (  -0.73) | 59.75% (  0.73) | 
| Girona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.44% (  -0.83) | 17.56% (  0.84) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% (  -1.47) | 48.12% (  1.47) | 
| Real Valladolid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.32% (  0.36) | 22.69% (  -0.36) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.66% (  0.54) | 56.34% (  -0.53) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Girona | Draw | Real Valladolid | 
| 2-1 @ 8.94% (  -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.93% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 6.03% (  -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.18% (  -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.85% (  -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.49% (  -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.25% (  -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.67% (  -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.52% (  -0.12) Other @ 4% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 10.28% (  0.17) 2-2 @ 6.63% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% (  0.13) 3-3 @ 1.9% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.63% (  0.2) 0-1 @ 5.91% (  0.25) 0-2 @ 4.38% (  0.23) 1-3 @ 3.77% (  0.14) 2-3 @ 3.28% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 2.17% (  0.14) 1-4 @ 1.4% (  0.07) 2-4 @ 1.22% (  0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 33% |