The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Genoa
Further limited by absences this week, Genoa only score at a rate of less than a goal per game, so make ideal opponents for an Atalanta side trying to regain their ebbing confidence. Not only should La Dea end their visitors' streak of successive draws, they will also prolong the Grifone's winless run still further - in the process, keeping themselves in touch with the top four. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 85.63%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 4.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 4-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
| 85.63% | 10% | 4.37% |
| Both teams to score 42.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
