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Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
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Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hearts logo

Kilmarnock
vs.
Hearts

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 3-0 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, May 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-1 St Johnstone
Wednesday, May 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We say: Kilmarnock 1-3 Hearts

While Kilmarnock's winning run was brought to an end in their last outing, Hearts maintained their positive momentum with a third straight triumph, and we believe the Jambos will continue that streak with another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Hearts has a probability of 34.61% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Hearts win is 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).

Result
KilmarnockDrawHearts
39.19% (-2.093 -2.09) 26.2% (0.223 0.22) 34.61% (1.871 1.87)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.282 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81% (-0.562 -0.56)51.18% (0.563 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (-0.496 -0.5)73.03% (0.496 0.5)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (-1.351 -1.35)25.61% (1.352 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (-1.878 -1.88)60.5% (1.88 1.88)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (0.908 0.91)28.25% (-0.908 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (1.134 1.13)63.96% (-1.133 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 39.19%
    Hearts 34.61%
    Draw 26.19%
KilmarnockDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.155 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.383 -0.38)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.276 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.302 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 39.19%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.162 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.428 0.43)
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.265 0.27)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.408 0.41)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.192 0.19)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.229 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.61%

Who will win Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts?

Kilmarnock
Draw
Hearts
Kilmarnock
7.7%
Draw
7.7%
Hearts
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 24
Hearts
3-2
Kilmarnock
Kabangu (7'), McCart (58'), Grant (61')
Grant (45+5'), Boateng (90+2')
Wales (50'), Murray (67')
Deas (42'), Magennis (45+3'), Watkins (45+5'), Armstrong (54'), Watson (81')
Dec 15, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Kilmarnock
1-0
Hearts
Anderson (18' pen.)
Murray (85')
Deas (6')

Penrice (16'), Rowles (45+7')
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hearts
1-2
Kilmarnock
Forrest (44')
Penrice (87')
Kennedy (58'), Vassell (63')
Vassell (52'), Kennedy (65'), Watkins (77')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Kilmarnock
0-0
Hearts
Mayo (36'), Wright (44'), Donnelly (61'), Findlay (89')
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
1-1
Kilmarnock
Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')
Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts43015147449
2Motherwell43014562-1748
3Kilmarnock43014563-1844
4Dundee41125577-2238
5Ross County40133664-2836
RSt Johnstone41033866-2832
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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