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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Celtic Park
Kilmarnock logo

Celtic
5 - 1
Kilmarnock

Hatate (9', 24'), Maeda (11'), Carter-Vickers (21'), Ralston (90+3')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Armstrong (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Celtic
Sunday, April 6 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 90.33%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 2.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.18%) and 2-0 (11.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.34%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (0.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawKilmarnock
90.33% (0.069999999999993 0.07)7.02% (-0.0379 -0.04)2.64% (-0.0291 -0.03)
Both teams to score 39.22% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.43% (0.0049999999999955 0)43.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.88% (0.012 0.01)3.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.09% (0.036999999999992 0.04)13.91% (-0.035 -0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.48% (-0.187 -0.19)59.52% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.59% (-0.0969 -0.1)90.4% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 90.32%
    Kilmarnock 2.64%
    Draw 7.02%
CelticDrawKilmarnock
3-0 @ 12.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 11.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.15% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 7.77% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 5.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.025 -0.03)
6-0 @ 4.49% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
6-1 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 2.23% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
7-1 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
8-0 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 90.32%
1-1 @ 3.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.85%
2-2 @ 1.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 7.02%
0-1 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 2.64%

How you voted: Celtic vs Kilmarnock

Celtic
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Kilmarnock
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2025 5.30pm
Fourth Round
Celtic
2-1
Kilmarnock
McGregor (12'), Maeda (71')
Wales (45+4')
Polworth (59'), McKenzie (90+1')
Nov 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Kilmarnock
0-2
Celtic

Wright (11'), Donnelly (83'), Murray (88')
McGregor (45+4'), Kuhn (71')
Hatate (80'), Trusty (83'), Maeda (90')
Aug 4, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Celtic
4-0
Kilmarnock
Hatate (17'), Scales (40'), Kuhn (59'), Ralston (90+4')

Donnelly (70'), Lyons (84')
May 15, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 37
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

Donnelly (30'), Deas (49')
Idah (5'), Maeda (12'), Forrest (35'), O'Riley (51', 71')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Celtic
1-1
Kilmarnock
Furuhashi (32')
Watson (90+2')
Donnelly (21'), Mayo (38'), Armstrong (73')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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