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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Celtic Park
Kilmarnock logo

Celtic
5 - 1
Kilmarnock

Hatate (9', 24'), Maeda (11'), Carter-Vickers (21'), Ralston (90+3')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Armstrong (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Celtic
Sunday, April 6 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 3-0 Kilmarnock

Celtic are waiting to get their title party started, and they should do their part this weekend in a routine win against Kilmarnock. The gap between the two sides has been clear in their previous meetings this season, and we expect another comfortable victory for the Hoops in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 90.33%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 2.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.18%) and 2-0 (11.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.34%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (0.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawKilmarnock
90.33% (0.069999999999993 0.07) 7.02% (-0.0379 -0.04) 2.64% (-0.0291 -0.03)
Both teams to score 39.22% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.43% (0.0049999999999955 0)43.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.88% (0.012 0.01)3.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.09% (0.036999999999992 0.04)13.91% (-0.035 -0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.48% (-0.187 -0.19)59.52% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.59% (-0.0969 -0.1)90.4% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 90.32%
    Kilmarnock 2.64%
    Draw 7.02%
CelticDrawKilmarnock
3-0 @ 12.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 11.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.15% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 7.77% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 5.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.025 -0.03)
6-0 @ 4.49% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
6-1 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 2.23% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
7-1 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
8-0 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 90.32%
1-1 @ 3.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.85%
2-2 @ 1.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 7.02%
0-1 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 2.64%

How you voted: Celtic vs Kilmarnock

Celtic
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Kilmarnock
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2025 5.30pm
Fourth Round
Celtic
2-1
Kilmarnock
McGregor (12'), Maeda (71')
Wales (45+4')
Polworth (59'), McKenzie (90+1')
Nov 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Kilmarnock
0-2
Celtic

Wright (11'), Donnelly (83'), Murray (88')
McGregor (45+4'), Kuhn (71')
Hatate (80'), Trusty (83'), Maeda (90')
Aug 4, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Celtic
4-0
Kilmarnock
Hatate (17'), Scales (40'), Kuhn (59'), Ralston (90+4')

Donnelly (70'), Lyons (84')
May 15, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 37
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

Donnelly (30'), Deas (49')
Idah (5'), Maeda (12'), Forrest (35'), O'Riley (51', 71')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Celtic
1-1
Kilmarnock
Furuhashi (32')
Watson (90+2')
Donnelly (21'), Mayo (38'), Armstrong (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000097227581
2RangersRangers000068353366
3Hibernian000054411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd00004140150
5Aberdeen00004549-450
6St Mirren00004554-941
Relegation Group
1Hearts00004344-140
2Motherwell00003756-1939
3Kilmarnock00003858-2035
4Ross County00003356-2335
5Dundee00005071-2134
6St Johnstone00003358-2529
 
First Phase
1Celtic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
12St Johnstone3385203358-2529


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