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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

St Mirren
5 - 1
Kilmarnock

Boyd-Munce (6', 58'), Idowu (9' pen.), O'Hara (65'), John (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Anderson (88' pen.)
Wright (64'), Anderson (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
43.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.2% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)30.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.22% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.07% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.05% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27%67.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 43.1%
    Kilmarnock 30.68%
    Draw 26.2%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.68%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock

St Mirren
50.0%
Draw
28.6%
Kilmarnock
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
2-0
St Mirren
Anderson (8', 65' pen.)

Taylor (21'), Gogic (49')
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
St Mirren
2-2
Kilmarnock
Olusanya (7'), O'Hara (41' pen.)
Mandron (16'), Taylor (47')
Watkins (11'), Ayunga (71' og.)
Ndaba (21'), Polworth (65'), Watson (90+1')
Wright (45+5')
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock
Vassell (37')
Armstrong (70'), Dennis (85')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
5-2
St Mirren
Vassell (61', 73'), Armstrong (65' pen.), Watkins (68'), Watson (79')
Donnelly (63'), Kennedy (75'), Watson (86')
Dunne (20'), Mandron (39')
O'Hara (59')
Dec 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock

Taylor (33'), Gogic (59'), Baccus (88')
Watkins (25')
Findlay (74'), Deas (86')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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