Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
5 - 1
Kilmarnock

Boyd-Munce (6', 58'), Idowu (9' pen.), O'Hara (65'), John (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Anderson (88' pen.)
Wright (64'), Anderson (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
43.11% ( 0)	26.2% ( -0)	30.68% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.13% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

52.22% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.07% (

73.93% (

-0.01)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95% (

24.05% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.68% (

58.32% (

-0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.64% (

-0)

31.36% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.27%

67.72% (

-0)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 43.1%

Kilmarnock 30.68%

Draw 26.2%

St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.1%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.68%