

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 44.31% ( | 27.27% ( | 28.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.75% ( | 57.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.91% ( | 78.09% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( | 25.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.39% ( | 60.61% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( | 35.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.54% ( | 72.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.5% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2% Total : 28.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 31 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 92 | 20 | 72 | 78 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 46 |
| 5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | Hearts | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 39 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 38 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 38 |
| 9 | Ross County | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 | Dundee | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 48 | 67 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 26 |
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