Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, March 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Santa Clara 1-0 Nacional
Both sides head into this contest desperate for points in pursuit of different aspirations, with the end of the current campaign drawing closer. Although Nacional have had the better of the hosts in recent meetings, the away form of the visitors could be their undoing this encounter. Therefore, we are backing Santa Clara to claim a narrow 1-0 win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Nacional |
62.11% ( -0.02) | 22.85% | 15.04% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.96% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
