We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Santa Clara
Santa's recent woes, particularly against relegation-threatened sides, offer little reason for optimism, and with both sides struggling for goals – Gil failing to score in five of their last seven matches – a low-scoring stalemate appears the most probable outcome.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.36%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Santa Clara in this match.