Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Universitario da UFAL
CSA3 - 2Gremio
Marques Rezende (15'), Marcelinho (87'), Brito Batista (90+2')
Rafael Ramos Fernandes (27'), Silas (38'), Camacho (69')
Rafael Ramos Fernandes (27'), Silas (38'), Camacho (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Centro Sportivo Alagoano and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: CSA 5-0 Tuna Luso
Friday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Friday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vitoria 1-1 Gremio
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
5
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Centro Sportivo Alagoano had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Centro Sportivo Alagoano win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Centro Sportivo Alagoano | Draw | Gremio |
21.09% ( -0.36) | 24.14% ( -0.01) | 54.77% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
