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Atletico Tucuman
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 1, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
Independiente

Tucuman
2 - 0
Independiente

Bajamich (24'), Diaz (87')
Ferrari (31'), Acosta (39'), Gonzalez (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Paredes (4'), Fernandez (38'), Valdez (86'), Anyiver Angulo Mosquera (90+3')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-0 Tucuman
Monday, April 28 at 9.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Deportivo Riestra
Monday, April 28 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 35.76%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (12.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawIndependiente
35.76% (0.084000000000003 0.08) 29.52% (0.040999999999997 0.04) 34.71% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 43.42% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.42% (-0.136 -0.14)63.58% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.12% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)82.88% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)33.75% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)70.41% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)34.46% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (-0.169 -0.17)71.17% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 35.76%
    Independiente 34.71%
    Draw 29.51%
Atletico TucumanDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 6.86% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.76%
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 11.63% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.51%
0-1 @ 12.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 34.71%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 26
Independiente
2-1
Tucuman
Avalos (14' pen.), Loyola (75')
Marcone (53')
Bajamich (65')
Castro Ponce (13'), Acosta (70'), Bajamich (77')
Estigarribia (17'), Sava (67')
Mar 31, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 12
Independiente
1-1
Tucuman
Isla (89')
Costa (20')
Bajamich (34')
Estigarribia (45+6'), Tesuri (81'), Romero (90+5')
Nov 5, 2023 12am
Gameweek 12
Tucuman
1-2
Independiente
Estigarribia (19')
Ortiz (34'), Tesuri (45+7'), Acosta (64')
Laso (74'), Canelo (90+4')
Lopez (61'), Laso (68'), Baez (89')
Jul 23, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 26
Tucuman
1-0
Independiente
Estigarribia (19' pen.)
Guille (23'), Romero (41'), Ortiz (63'), Ruiz (68'), Bianchi (86'), Ojeda (90+7')
Bianchi (90+5')

Costa (45+4'), Ortiz (70'), Laso (73'), Martinez (90+4'), Gimenez Rojas (90+6')
Jul 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Independiente
0-1
Tucuman

Barreto (31'), Elizalde (78')
Lotti (1')
Ruiz (49'), Acosta (62')
rhs 2.0
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