We said: Real Betis 1-1 Fiorentina
Real Betis enter the clash as favourites, thanks to the quality across their squad, but Fiorentina's experience competing at this stage of the competition may give them the upper-hand.
While we do expect the hosts to dominate the ball, Fiorentina are often strongest in transitions, leading us to expect a hard-fought draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.