Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 27, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Empoli

Adli (7'), Mandragora (25')
Beltran (16'), Ranieri (55'), Mandragora (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Fazzini (57')
Anjorin (20'), Henderson (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Empoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Empoli
Thursday, April 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Empoli
63.61% ( 0.43)	21.08% ( -0.31)	15.31% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 48.66% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.86% (

1.08)

47.14% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.63% (

69.38% (

-1)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.85% (

0.49)

14.15% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.18% (

0.94)

41.82% (

-0.93)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.68% (

0.5)

43.32% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.44% (

0.42)

79.56% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 63.6%

Empoli 15.31%

Draw 21.08%

Fiorentina	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 63.6%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.08%	0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.19% 0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.53% Total : 15.31%