Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan2 - 2Fiorentina
We said: AC Milan 1-1 Fiorentina
These teams have drawn only one of their last 14 league meetings, but a stalemate is on the cards this weekend, when Milan will stumble again. Fiorentina have turned a corner, keeping successive clean sheets and taking maximum points against two top-four contenders, so they are in good shape to secure at least a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 27.46% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
48.81% ( -2.17) | 23.74% ( 0.25) | 27.46% ( 1.92) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
