Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 2
Fiorentina

Abraham (23'), Jovic (64')
Hernandez (41'), Walker (45+4'), Pulisic (58'), Leao (58')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Thiaw (7' og.), Kean (10')
Mari (31'), Dodo (41'), de Gea (66')
Palladino (90+3'), Palladino (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, April 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 27.46% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Fiorentina
48.81% ( -2.17)	23.74% ( 0.25)	27.46% ( 1.92)

Both teams to score 58.18% (

0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.63% (

0.41)

43.37% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.23% (

0.41)

65.77% (

-0.4)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.09% (

-0.67)

17.91% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.29% (

-1.16)

48.7% (

1.16)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

1.68)

29.13% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.94% (

2.03)

65.06% (

-2.03)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 48.81%

Fiorentina 27.46%

Draw 23.73%

AC Milan	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 48.81%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.38% Total : 27.46%