

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan | 
| 45.47% (  0.01) | 23.98% (  0) | 30.55% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 59.49% (  -0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.41% (  -0.01) | 42.59% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35% (  -0.01) | 64.99% (  0.01) | 
| Fiorentina Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.06% | 18.94% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.55% | 50.45% (  0) | 
| AC Milan Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.39% (  -0.01) | 26.61% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.16% (  -0.01) | 61.84% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan | 
| 2-1 @ 9.24% (  0) 1-0 @ 8.39% (  0) 2-0 @ 6.98% (  0) 3-1 @ 5.12% (  0) 3-0 @ 3.87% (  0) 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.13% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.11% (  -0) 0-0 @ 5.04% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.35% (  -0) 0-1 @ 6.67% (  0) 0-2 @ 4.42% (  -0) 1-3 @ 3.24% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% (  -0) 0-3 @ 1.95% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% (  -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.55% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 | 
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 | 
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 | 
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 | 
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 | 
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 | 
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 | 
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 | 
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 | 
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 | 
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 | 
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 | 
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 | 
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 | 
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
