

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
| 63.06% ( | 20.51% ( | 16.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( | 42.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( | 64.94% ( |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% ( | 12.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.75% ( | 39.25% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.93% ( | 39.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.21% ( | 75.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.22% ( 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 5-1 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 63.05% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.51% | 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 1-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
