Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.45%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Empoli |
70.32% (![]() | 18.6% (![]() | 11.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.02% (![]() | 45.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% (![]() | 68.29% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.15% (![]() | 11.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.87% (![]() | 37.13% (![]() |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.73% (![]() | 49.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.85% (![]() | 84.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 13.28% (![]() 1-0 @ 12.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.44% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 70.31% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.61% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.13% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 11.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |