Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.45%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Empoli |
| 70.32% ( | 18.6% ( | 11.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( | 45.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( | 68.29% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% ( | 11.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.87% ( | 37.13% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.73% ( | 49.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.85% ( | 84.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-0 @ 13.28% ( 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 3-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 4-0 @ 5.03% ( 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 5-0 @ 2.15% ( 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 70.31% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 2-2 @ 3.33% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.13% ( 1-2 @ 3.12% ( 0-2 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 11.09% |