We said: Napoli 2-1 Empoli
While Napoli are seven unbeaten at the Maradona since December, four of their five wins have been by one-goal margins.
Although the Partenopei have not scored three goals in any game in front of their supporters since October, facing a side with Empoli's away record suggests that the title contenders should claim maximum points on Monday, even if the home crowd might expect another nervy encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.45%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
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