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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Empoli logo

Napoli
3 - 0
Empoli

McTominay (18', 61'), Lukaku (56')
Lukaku (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Napoli
Monday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.45%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawEmpoli
70.32% (0.75 0.75)18.6% (-0.099 -0.1)11.09% (-0.649 -0.65)
Both teams to score 44.71% (-1.807 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (-1.251 -1.25)45.98% (1.254 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (-1.195 -1.2)68.29% (1.197 1.2)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15% (-0.152 -0.15)11.85% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.87% (-0.326 -0.33)37.13% (0.329 0.33)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.73% (-1.957 -1.96)49.27% (1.96 1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.85% (-1.423 -1.42)84.15% (1.426 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 70.31%
    Empoli 11.09%
    Draw 18.6%
NapoliDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 13.28% (0.54 0.54)
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.58 0.58)
3-0 @ 9.44% (0.327 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.68% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.03% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 3.56% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.187 -0.19)
5-0 @ 2.15% (0.049 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 70.31%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.305 0.31)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.241 -0.24)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 11.09%

How you voted: Napoli vs Empoli

Napoli
86.2%
Draw
7.7%
Empoli
6.2%
130
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 8
Empoli
0-1
Napoli

Grassi (33'), Haas (90+6')
Kvaratskhelia (63' pen.)
Zambo Anguissa (37'), Di Lorenzo (76')
Apr 20, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 33
Empoli
1-0
Napoli
Cerri (4')
Pezzella (54'), Bereszynski (58')

Jesus (37'), Ngonge (90+3')
Nov 12, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Napoli
0-1
Empoli

Cajuste (90+3')
Kovalenko (90+1')
Cancellieri (78')
Feb 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 24
Empoli
0-2
Napoli
Ismajli (17' og.), Osimhen (28')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
2-0
Empoli
Lozano (69' pen.), Zielinski (88')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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