Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
| 19.99% ( | 23.41% ( | 56.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( | 49.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( | 71.47% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.95% ( | 39.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.23% ( | 75.76% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( | 17.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.41% ( | 47.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 2-1 @ 5.24% ( 2-0 @ 2.98% ( 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 3-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.99% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.6% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0-2 @ 10.39% ( 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0-3 @ 6.09% ( 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-4 @ 2.67% ( 1-4 @ 2.52% ( 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0-5 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 71 |
| 2 | Napoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 65 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 61 |
| 4 | Juventus | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 59 |
| 5 | Bologna | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 57 |
| 6 | Lazio | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 7 | Roma | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 54 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 9 | AC Milan | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Udinese | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 39 |
| 13 | Como | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 32 |
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Parma | 32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Lecce | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 26 |
| 18 | VeneziaVenezia | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 24 |
| 19 | Empoli | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 24 |
| 20 | Monza | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 15 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
