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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Napoli logo

Empoli
1 - 0
Napoli

Cerri (4')
Pezzella (54'), Bereszynski (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jesus (37'), Ngonge (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Frosinone
Sunday, April 14 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-2 Napoli

Though not as accurate as they would like, Napoli have attempted the most shots in Serie A this season; by contrast, Empoli have faced the second-most. That should indicate the likely direction of play at Stadio Castellani, but it may still be only one goal that splits these sides by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawNapoli
19.99% (-0.325 -0.32) 23.41% (0.0040000000000013 0) 56.6% (0.327 0.33)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.509 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)49.43% (0.431 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.383 -0.38)71.47% (0.389 0.39)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)39.04% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23% (-0.556 -0.56)75.76% (0.562 0.56)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)17.26% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.41% (-0.067 -0.07)47.59% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 19.99%
    Napoli 56.59%
    Draw 23.41%
EmpoliDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 19.99%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 11.84% (0.2 0.2)
0-2 @ 10.39% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.09% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.67% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.59%

How you voted: Empoli vs Napoli

Empoli
10.6%
Draw
15.2%
Napoli
74.2%
66
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Napoli
0-1
Empoli

Cajuste (90+3')
Kovalenko (90+1')
Cancellieri (78')
Feb 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 24
Empoli
0-2
Napoli
Ismajli (17' og.), Osimhen (28')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
2-0
Empoli
Lozano (69' pen.), Zielinski (88')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Empoli
3-2
Napoli
Henderson (80'), Pinamonti (83', 88')
Bandinelli (4'), Viti (73'), Stojanovic (81'), Pinamonti (89')
Mertens (44'), Insigne (53')
Zanoli (22')
Dec 12, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 17
Napoli
0-1
Empoli
Cutrone (70')
Zurkowski (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32218372314171
2Napoli31198448252365
3Atalanta BCAtalanta32187765303561
4Juventus321514349301959
5Bologna321512551371457
6Lazio32168853431056
7Roma32159847321554
8Fiorentina32158949321753
9AC Milan32149951371451
10Torino32913103637-140
11Udinese32117143646-1040
12Genoa32912112938-939
13Como3299144048-836
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3295183059-2932
15CagliariCagliari3279163247-1530
16Parma32513143751-1428
17Lecce3268182352-2926
18VeneziaVenezia32412162544-1924
19Empoli31412152447-2324
20Monza3229212556-3115


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