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Serie A
Inter logo
Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

Inter Milan
1 - 1
Napoli

Darmian (43')
Pavard (36'), Barella (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jesus (81')
Calzona (37'), Lobotka (52'), Calzona (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Inter Milan (3-2 pen.)
Wednesday, March 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Barcelona 3-1 Napoli
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Napoli

 Inter and Napoli are Serie A's top two for total shots, shots on target, touches in the opposition area and expected goals, so it could be an entertaining encounter at San Siro. Both took severe blows in midweek, but the hosts are best equipped to resume normal service and take one step closer to succeeding their visitors as Italian champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Napoli win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
57.34% (-0.51 -0.51) 22.39% (0.524 0.52) 20.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-1.788 -1.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (-2.361 -2.36)44.75% (2.358 2.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (-2.317 -2.32)67.11% (2.313 2.31)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (-0.96600000000001 -0.97)15.36% (0.961 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.86% (-1.837 -1.84)44.13% (1.832 1.83)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-1.371 -1.37)36.06% (1.367 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15% (-1.423 -1.42)72.84% (1.42 1.42)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 57.33%
    Napoli 20.27%
    Draw 22.39%
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.689 0.69)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.72% (0.338 0.34)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.239 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.119 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 57.33%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.544 0.54)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.39%
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.361 0.36)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.27%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Napoli

Inter Milan
82.9%
Draw
10.3%
Napoli
6.8%
117
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2024 7pm
Final
Napoli
0-1
Inter Milan

Rrahmani (42'), Mazzarri (43'), Zerbin (46'), Simeone (55'), Gaetano (90')
Simeone (60')
Martinez (90+1')
Calhanoglu (44'), de Vrij (47'), Barella (55'), Martinez (90+2')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
0-3
Inter Milan

Elmas (58'), Rrahmani (73')
Calhanoglu (44'), Barella (61'), Thuram (85')
Darmian (78'), Thuram (85')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 36
Napoli
3-1
Inter Milan
Zambo Anguissa (67'), Di Lorenzo (85'), Gaetano (90+4')
Elmas (64')
Lukaku (82')
Gagliardini (19')
Gagliardini (41')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Inter Milan
1-0
Napoli
Dzeko (56')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Insigne (7' pen.)
Insigne (37')
Dzeko (47')
Brozovic (60')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816
> Serie A Full Table


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