Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
28.07% (![]() | 24.89% (![]() | 47.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.79% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.94% (![]() | 48.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.78% (![]() | 70.22% (![]() |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.89% (![]() | 31.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% (![]() | 67.43% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% (![]() | 20.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.05% (![]() | 52.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 7.44% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.07% | 1-1 @ 11.79% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 10.1% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |