Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.