Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 70.1%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 11.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.