Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.42%) and 3-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.