Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 22, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio do Governo do Estado de Goias (Serra Dourada) (Goiania, Goias)

Vila Nova0 - 3Cruzeiro
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Vila Nova and Cruzeiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Monday, May 19 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Monday, May 19 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Vila Nova had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Vila Nova win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Vila Nova | Draw | Cruzeiro |
28.52% (![]() | 27.9% (![]() | 43.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.55% (![]() | 59.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.18% (![]() | 79.82% (![]() |
Vila Nova Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.2% (![]() | 36.8% (![]() |