MX23RW : Thursday, May 22 14:48:36| >> :60:1455:1455:
Copa do Brasil | Second Round
Mar 14, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio do Governo do Estado de Goias

Vila Nova
6 - 0
Rio Branco-VN

Poveda (9'), Mota (64'), Tiago (72'), Torres (75'), Lira Nogueira (80'), Santos Silva (84')
Prado Camargo (55'), dos Anjos Mathiello (90+1'), dos Anjos Mathiello (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carvalho dos Santos (12')
Carvalho dos Santos (24')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Vila Nova and Rio Branco-VN.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vila Nova

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Last Game: Inter de Limeira 0-0 Vila Nova (6-7 pen.)
Friday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Rio Branco-VN

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Last Game: Rio Branco-VN 0-0 Amazonas (5-3 pen.)
Thursday, February 20 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vila Nova win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rio Branco-VN had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vila Nova win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.97%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.86%), while for a Rio Branco-VN win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vila Nova would win this match.

Result
Vila NovaDrawRio Branco-VN
61.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.55% (-0.038 -0.04) 14.04% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 36.74% (0.126 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.26% (0.146 0.15)61.73% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.46% (0.108 0.11)81.54% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)
Vila Nova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (0.067000000000007 0.07)20.11% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.64% (0.105 0.1)52.36% (-0.107 -0.11)
Rio Branco-VN Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.99% (0.119 0.12)54.01% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.72% (0.073 0.07)87.28% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Vila Nova 61.4%
    Rio Branco-VN 14.04%
    Draw 24.55%
Vila NovaDrawRio Branco-VN
1-0 @ 17.42% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 13.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 3% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 61.4%
0-0 @ 10.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.65% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.31% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 14.04%

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