Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Sport Recife	Draw	Cruzeiro
36.44% ( -1.13)	28.04% ( 0.58)	35.52% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 47.69% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.61% (

-2.15)

58.39% (

2.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.01% (

-1.71)

78.99% (

1.72)

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

-1.75)

30.66% (

1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1% (

-2.12)

66.9% (

2.12)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77% (

-0.72)

31.24% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.42% (

-0.85)

67.58% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Sport Recife 36.44%

Cruzeiro 35.52%

Draw 28.03%

Sport Recife	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.44%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.76) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.68) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.52%