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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Roma logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Roma

FT(HT: 0-1)
Soule (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Empoli 0-2 Roma

Following four successive home wins, Roma can boost their modest away record by beating lowly Empoli. Even if they make numerous changes, the visitors simply boast too much talent for their injury-hit hosts to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.97%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
EmpoliDrawRoma
15.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 24.51% (0.149 0.15) 59.73% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 40.18% (-0.471 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.85% (-0.571 -0.57)59.14% (0.57 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-0.445 -0.45)79.58% (0.444 0.44)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.06% (-0.425 -0.42)49.93% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.39% (-0.298 -0.3)84.61% (0.295 0.3)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (-0.256 -0.26)19.73% (0.255 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24% (-0.417 -0.42)51.76% (0.417 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 15.76%
    Roma 59.73%
    Draw 24.5%
EmpoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 15.76%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.85% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 15.99% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 12.97% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 7.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 59.73%

How you voted: Empoli vs Roma

Empoli
16.7%
Draw
11.5%
Roma
71.8%
78
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Roma
1-2
Empoli
Gyasi (45'), Colombo (61' pen.)
Maleh (26'), Solbakken (58'), Cacace (84')
May 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Empoli
2-1
Roma
Cancellieri (13'), Niang (90+3')
Gyasi (2'), Destro (34'), Marin (81'), Niang (90')
Aouar (45+1')
Costa (90')
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
7-0
Empoli
Dybala (2' pen., 55'), Sanches (8'), Grassi (35' og.), Cristante (79'), Lukaku (82'), Mancini (86')
Dybala (38'), Sanches (39')

Cancellieri (39'), Maleh (58')
Feb 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Ibanez (2'), Abraham (6')
Sep 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Empoli
1-2
Roma
Dybala (17'), Abraham (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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