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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Roma logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Roma

FT(HT: 0-1)
Soule (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.97%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
EmpoliDrawRoma
15.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)24.51% (0.149 0.15)59.73% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 40.18% (-0.471 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.85% (-0.571 -0.57)59.14% (0.57 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-0.445 -0.45)79.58% (0.444 0.44)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.06% (-0.425 -0.42)49.93% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.39% (-0.298 -0.3)84.61% (0.295 0.3)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (-0.256 -0.26)19.73% (0.255 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24% (-0.417 -0.42)51.76% (0.417 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 15.76%
    Roma 59.73%
    Draw 24.5%
EmpoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 15.76%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.85% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 15.99% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 12.97% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 7.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 59.73%

How you voted: Empoli vs Roma

Empoli
16.7%
Draw
11.5%
Roma
71.8%
78
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