We said: Bologna 1-1 Napoli
Bologna have scored freely since the start of the year, but both teams are defensively disciplined, and it could be a tight tactical battle.
A low-scoring draw is on the cards, as the two sides that have faced the fewest shots in Serie A this season go toe-to-toe with plenty at stake.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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