Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 1Cagliari
We said: Bologna 3-1 Cagliari
While Cagliari have fired blanks in consecutive away games, Bologna's failure to keep clean sheets in five of their last six matches on home soil suggests that both teams could score at the Dall'Ara on Sunday. Nevertheless, Italiano's men are backed to notch maximum points to record a fifth top-flight triumph on home soil, improving their ongoing five-match undefeated sequence in front of their supporters in 2025. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Cagliari |
62.22% ( -0.45) | 22.24% ( 0.25) | 15.54% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 45.72% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
