Bologna

3 - 2

Torino

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.